Roof, Jan/Feb. 2006, p.18-19
New analysis of the 2001 census data for Shelter suggests that the government may have overestimated household growth. The government estimates that 190,000 new households will be formed each year, but the full analysis of the census data suggests that the figure may be 175,000 only. These revised figures indicate that there is no overall national shortfall in the supply of new market housing. However, the analysis does suggest a requirement for 40,000 new social rented dwellings per year to meet newly arising need, plus 10,000 per year to address the current backlog of unmet need. This is 20,000 more than currently planned.
Public Finance, Nov.18th-24th 2005, p.26-27
Merger activity amongst housing associations is increasing steadily. Mergers are driven by opportunities for larger organisations to achieve economies of scale, borrow money more cheaply, and attract more development grants. Article presents a case study of a merger between Circle 33 and Anglia.
Housing, Care and Support, vol.8, Dec. 2005, p.17-22
Paper attempts to estimate the nature and extent of increased need for supported housing for people with learning disabilities over the next 20 years in the light of their changing demographic profile, changes in expectations and changes in the pattern of informal care.
Public Finance, Jan.20th-26th 2006, p.18-21
The Sustainable Communities Plan unveiled in 2003 will see Southern England peppered with new housing developments. All will include affordable housing for rent and part-ownership provided by housing associations. The developments will in some cases expand existing towns and in others create corridor settlements, with patches of greenery in between. There are concerns about the confusing plethora of funding regimes for the new developments, and the wisdom of building large numbers of homes in already congested places.
Housing Studies, vol.20, 2005, p.949-971
In response to the Barker Review’s conclusion that the land use planning system is the main cause of the shortage of new housing in England, affordability targets will be introduced. Regional planning authorities will be required to release more land if they expect targets not to be met. Economic analysis and models will become central to this assessment. The Barker Review provides a good example of how economic analysis can be used to inform policy. This paper looks at the economics underlying the Barker Review, concentrating on an analysis of supply elasticities and the required increases in construction to meet price targets.
Housing Studies, vol.20, 2005, p.973-988
The English planning system faces the challenge of delivering the right number of new dwellings of the right type in the most appropriate locations. Failure to do so will result in a high price being paid by individual communities, by society at large and by the environment. This paper critiques the process of arriving at housing allocation figures for development planning in England, focusing upon regional debates. It considers the balance struck between national considerations and local priorities, illustrated by two case studies: the East of England and the English North West. These particular regions exemplify the dual poles of current planning policy in relation to housing provision: avoiding oversupply in the North and delivering managed growth in the South.