From Russia with love

From Russia with love
Document type
Harding, Rebecca
Delta Economics
Date of publication
17 November 2014
Trade View. 17 November 2014
Trends: economic, social and technology trends affecting business
Business and management
Material type

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Delta Economics weekly trade views anticipate and analyse forthcoming key economic data from Deltas unique trade perspective. This report is on ‘why the collapse of the Rouble matters’.

There was very little panic on markets around the drop in the value of the Rouble. This is not surprising –the rouble has not been connected with economic fundamentals and it is now so some correction could be expected. But a weaker Russia matters for Europe because of the risks of contagion: the German export engine is being damaged by lower demand for cars and this has a compounded effect both on the value of the Euro and on the value of key European markets, specifically the DAX (German car exports to Russia are more than 83% correlated with the value of the DAX Index). The Euro may also experience some fallout as well: German car exports to Russia are 60% correlated with its value.

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