Winning back the 5 million: understanding the fragmentation of Labour's vote

Document type
Discussion paper
Hunter, Paul
Smith Institute
Date of publication
17 February 2011
Social Policy
Social welfare
Material type

Download (254KB )

The Labour Party lost almost 5 million votes between the 1997 and 2010 elections.  The purpose of this discussion paper is in part to debunk some of the myths surrounding Labour's recent defeat and to understand where it lost the votes.  It uses demographic analyses of voting patterns between 1992 and 2010.  Overall, the paper concludes that the loss was due to a lower turnout and the fragmentation of the Labour vote to the Conservative, Liberal Democrat and other parties.  The picture for Labour is varied and complex with some worrying trends.

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