The future of skills: employment in 2030

Document type
Bakhshi, Hasan; Osborne, Michael; Schneider, Philippe
Date of publication
28 September 2017
Social Policy, Employment, Education and Skills, Health Services
Social welfare
Material type

Download (2.9MB )

This report maps out how employment is likely to change in the future. It includes the implications for skills and anticipates a number of new occupations.

Key findings:

  • Around one-tenth of the workforce are in occupations that are likely to grow as a percentage of the workforce and round one-fifth are in occupations that will likely shrink.
  • Education, healthcare, and wider public sector occupations are likely to grow while some low-skilled jobs, in fields like construction and agriculture, are less likely to suffer poor labor market outcomes than has been assumed in the past.
  • The report highlights the skills that are likely to be in greater demand in the future, which include interpersonal skills, higher-order cognitive skills, and systems skills.

This study uses a novel and comprehensive mixed-method approach to map out how employment is likely to change and the implications for skills. It shows what the uncertainties are within certain sectors, and highlights likely dynamics in different parts of the labour market, from sectors like food and health to manufacturing.

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