Understanding the leave vote
- Document type
- Swales, Kirby
- NatCen Social Research
- Date of publication
- 1 December 2016
- Social Policy
- Social welfare
- Material type
Download (2.1MB )
The purpose of this report is to provide a high-level overview of the main findings from an analysis of the latest and highest quality data.
- The Leave victory was not about objective demographics alone.
- The Leave campaign resonated more strongly with the public.
- The Referendum attracted a group of ‘new voters’ who did not participate in the 2015 General Election.
- The Referendum was not decided along typical party lines.
The Leave campaign’s success was underpinned by a broad-based coalition of voters which is much more wide-ranging than the ‘left behind’. This included three main groups; affluent Eurosceptics, the older working class and a smaller group of economically disadvantaged, anti-Immigration voters.
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